Royal
Caribbean Cruises barely got out a fourth-quarter profit of a penny a share, a
98 percent decline in profits from a year earlier and well below Wall Street
expectations.
The Miami-based
cruise giant said it expects to lose money in the first quarter, with all of
2009 shaping up to be less profitable than previously expected.
The cruise industry
has been resorting to deep discounts to lure consumers. Once passengers get
onboard, they are stingier at casinos and shops, and to a lesser degree, in
spending on other extras such as spas, further curtailing profits. Consumers
also are booking much closer to sailing dates, making it harder for the cruise
operator to plan ahead.
Shares of Royal
Caribbean, the No. 2 cruise operator, fell 13 percent to $7.85 on the New York
Stock Exchange Thursday after sliding sharply the day before. Royal Caribbean's
stock is down 76 percent since the economy fell off a cliff in mid-September.
No. 1 Carnival
Corp., which has maintained profits better and has a stronger balance sheet,
fell 7 percent to $18.60; it has seen its stock slide 52 percent since
mid-September.
Royal Caribbean,
which operates five brands including Celebrity Cruises and Azamara Cruises,
posted fourth-quarter net income of $1.5 million, or one cent a share, compared
to $70.8 million, or 33 cents per share, a year earlier. For all of 2008, it
posted net income of $573.7 million, or $2.68 a share, down 5 percent from
$603.4 million, or $2.82 a share, for 2007.
Royal Caribbean
expects its yield -- the revenue a berth generates in a day -- to plunge a
dramatic 14 percent to 16 percent for the first quarter and 9 percent to 13
percent for the full year. The cruise operator projected a loss of 30 cents to
35 cents a share for the first quarter and a profit of around $1.40 per share
for the full year.
Royal Caribbean
executives said they are responding by cutting costs even deeper than in a plan
made last fall. The company is casting a wider net to draw more consumers from
Europe, Asia and Latin America.
The company also
has stepped up incentives to travel agents, temporarily boosting commissions and
offering consumers a host of come-ons, like cabin upgrades and on-board credits.
Many cruise prices are reminiscent of 2002 when the industry was scrambling to
overcome consumers' reluctance to travel in the wake of the Sept. 11, 2001,
terror attacks.
Royal Caribbean
said cruise bookings to Europe and Alaska are the hardest hit. Stewart Chiron, a
Miami cruise expert, said the cruise industry isn't doing enough to lure
travelers on those itineraries. ''They're going to have to offer free or reduced
airfare,'' he said. Wall Street analysts peppered executives with tough
questions during a Thursday conference call. One concern: Royal Caribbean has
yet to nail down financing for its much-touted Oasis ships that will be the
world's largest when they begin service in December 2009 and in 2010